{"id":4080,"date":"2021-07-09T08:55:08","date_gmt":"2021-07-09T08:55:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/outsiderland.com\/danahilliot\/?p=4080"},"modified":"2021-07-09T13:25:50","modified_gmt":"2021-07-09T13:25:50","slug":"des-inegalites-dans-ladaptation-aux-crises-climatiques","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/outsiderland.com\/danahilliot\/des-inegalites-dans-ladaptation-aux-crises-climatiques\/","title":{"rendered":"Des in\u00e9galit\u00e9s dans l’adaptation aux crises climatiques"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Petit point climatologique ce matin. Anomalies positives, voire tr\u00e8s largement positives dans une bonne partie de l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re nord\u00a0: au SO des USA et toujours dans l\u2019Ouest Canadien (on d\u00e9passe encore les 35\u00a0\u00b0C \u00e0 Lytton, en Colombie-Britannique), la canicule dure maintenant depuis des semaines, et ne semble pas pr\u00e8s de s\u2019arr\u00eater. En Afrique, et notamment en Afrique du nord (et au sud de l\u2019Espagne), on redoute que les 50\u00a0\u00b0C soient atteints ce week-end, toute l\u2019Europe de l\u2019Est et Centrale est touch\u00e9e par de tr\u00e8s fortes chaleurs, le Golfe persique, l\u2019Asie centrale et la Sib\u00e9rie Orientale sont en surchauffe.<\/p>\n

Mais l\u2019exc\u00e9dent le plus spectaculaire en ce moment, c\u2019est le record de chaleur qui vient d\u2019\u00eatre battu \u00e0 Banak, \u00e0 l\u2019extr\u00eame nord de la Norv\u00e8ge, au-dessus du 70\u1d49 parall\u00e8le\u00a0! On vient d\u2019y enregistrer 34,7\u00a0\u00b0C. La r\u00e9gion se trouve \u00e0 quelques encablures de l\u2019oc\u00e9an Arctique.<\/p>\n

On notera aussi que dans l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re sud, l\u2019hiver est encore une fois particuli\u00e8rement doux. Rien d\u2019\u00e9tonnant d\u00e8s lors \u00e0 ce que la temp\u00e9rature moyenne mondiale soit au-dessus des normes.<\/p>\n

Un ami arch\u00e9ologue me faisait remarquer qu\u2019autour de l\u2019an mille, et jusqu\u2019au XIII\u1d49 si\u00e8cle, durant ce qu\u2019on a appel\u00e9 l\u2019Optimum climatique m\u00e9di\u00e9val, l\u2019Europe de l\u2019Ouest connaissait des temp\u00e9ratures \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s \u00e9quivalentes \u00e0 celle de nos ann\u00e9es 90. Ce qui explique d\u2019ailleurs pourquoi les habitants de l\u2019Auvergne m\u00e9di\u00e9vale s\u2019\u00e9taient install\u00e9s sur les hauts plateaux, fondant des villages bien au-dessus de 1 000 m. Mais l’\u00e9tendue de cette p\u00e9riode, et les hauteurs de temp\u00e9ratures demeurent sujettes \u00e0 controverse chez les experts.<\/p>\n

Il n\u2019emp\u00eache, on est s\u00fbr de trois choses\u00a0:<\/p>\n

1. Ce r\u00e9chauffement du climat au Moyen \u00c2ge ne s\u2019est pas produit en quelques d\u00e9cennies, mais s\u2019est \u00e9tal\u00e9, avec beaucoup de variations, sur plusieurs si\u00e8cles. Alors que notre r\u00e9chauffement climatique est en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration brutale, en quelques d\u00e9cennies, des hausses des temp\u00e9ratures moyennes.<\/p>\n

2. Les maximales atteintes durant la p\u00e9riode M\u00e9di\u00e9vale demeurent probablement tr\u00e8s en dessous de celles qui sont relev\u00e9es d\u00e9sormais chaque ann\u00e9e, de mani\u00e8re inexorable, sur la plan\u00e8te depuis 20 ans (on est habitu\u00e9e maintenant \u00e0 cette sinistre \u00ab\u00a0course aux records\u00a0\u00bb qui devient le quotidien des climatologues).<\/p>\n

3. L\u2019immense diff\u00e9rence entre les r\u00e9chauffements climatiques \u00e0 des p\u00e9riodes ant\u00e9rieures et notre r\u00e9chauffement climatique contemporain, c\u2019est que le second para\u00eet irr\u00e9versible (alors que le premier ne l\u2019\u00e9tait pas). Pour deux raisons\u00a0:<\/p>\n

a) parce qu\u2019il est li\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019accroissement des activit\u00e9s humaines (\u00e9mission de Co2, d\u00e9forestation, bouleversement des environnements et de la biodiversit\u00e9, etc.) et qu\u2019on ne voit aucun moyen de convaincre et m\u00eame de contraindre d\u00e9sormais les milliards d\u2019habitants qui peuplent la plan\u00e8te \u00e0 modifier d\u00e9lib\u00e9r\u00e9ment leur mani\u00e8re de l\u2019habiter (dans l\u2019espoir de freiner un tant soit peu la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures).<\/p>\n

b) parce qu\u2019il entra\u00eene la mise en route de processus naturels (fonte des banquises, des glaciers et du permafrost, incendies de for\u00eat, destruction des barri\u00e8res de corail, etc. ce qu\u2019on appelle en anglais les tipping points<\/i>, ou points de basculement), qui eux-m\u00eames, par effet de domino, aggravent le r\u00e9chauffement des temp\u00e9ratures globales.<\/p>\n

L\u2019humanit\u00e9 a connu des changements climatiques par le pass\u00e9, qui ont peut-\u00eatre \u00e9t\u00e9 v\u00e9cus comme des \u00ab\u00a0crises\u00a0\u00bb \u00e0 certains moments \u2013 mais ces changements se produisaient au pire pendant des dizaines de g\u00e9n\u00e9rations humaines, et dans des contextes d\u00e9mographiques et \u00e9conomiques forc\u00e9ment plus \u00ab\u00a0localis\u00e9s\u00a0\u00bb, et infiniment moins contraints qu\u2019ils ne le sont aujourd\u2019hui. Un groupe de chasseurs-cueilleurs au m\u00e9solithique relativement isol\u00e9 dans une r\u00e9gion peu dens\u00e9ment peupl\u00e9e peut changer de zone de chasse et migrer (nomadiser) plus facilement sans doute qu\u2019un village d\u2019agriculteurs du n\u00e9olithique ou du Moyen Age.<\/p>\n

Mais l\u2019adaptation (en l\u2019occurrence, souvent\u00a0: la migration) \u00e9tait sans doute possible parce que les populations disposaient en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral du temps et de l\u2019espace n\u00e9cessaires. L\u2019extr\u00eame diversit\u00e9 des mani\u00e8res d\u2019habiter le monde, qui \u00e9tait encore remarquable jusqu\u2019\u00e0 une p\u00e9riode r\u00e9cente, avant que la mondialisation \u00e9conomique atteigne l\u2019extension qu\u2019elle manifeste aujourd\u2019hui, favorisait sans doute la mise en place de solutions adaptatives vari\u00e9es aux al\u00e9as climatiques. Les historiens et les anthropologues observent depuis longtemps que des populations passent, selon les conditions environnementales, politiques (conflits, invasions, instauration de r\u00e9gimes autoritaires, etc.) d\u2019un mode de vie \u00e0 l\u2019autre si n\u00e9cessaire et le passage, si contre-intuitif pour les tenants d\u2019une \u00e9volution lin\u00e9aire, d\u2019un mode de vie s\u00e9dentaire et agricole \u00e0 un mode de vie semi-nomade, fond\u00e9 sur la chasse, la cueillette et l\u2019horticulture sur br\u00fblis, ou encore la p\u00eache en eaux-vive ou l\u2019\u00e9levage nomadisant, n\u2019est pas aussi rare qu\u2019on l\u2019imaginait.<\/p>\n

On comprend bien qu\u2019aujourd\u2019hui, dans un espace satur\u00e9, une temporalit\u00e9 d\u2019urgence, et une \u00e9conomie mondialis\u00e9e, une certaine uniformisation des mani\u00e8res d\u2019habiter et de faire un monde viable, et l\u2019interd\u00e9pendance radicale qui en d\u00e9coule, et pour tout dire dans une situation de crise, ces processus d\u2019adaptation (le seul horizon viable qui demeure en v\u00e9rit\u00e9) seront beaucoup plus difficiles \u00e0 mettre en \u0153uvre et d\u00e9pendront des ressources des r\u00e9gions et du statut \u00e9conomique des habitants (de mani\u00e8re certainement plus dramatique que c\u2019\u00e9tait le cas autrefois). Autrement dit, les in\u00e9galit\u00e9s de richesses, de ressources, d\u2019acc\u00e8s aux technologies, et les diff\u00e9rences d\u2019organisations \u201cpolitiques\u201d, vont accentuer et aggraver les diff\u00e9rences g\u00e9ographiques et la vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 aux changements du climat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petit point climatologique ce matin. Anomalies positives, voire tr\u00e8s largement positives dans une bonne partie de l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re nord\u00a0: au SO des USA et toujours dans l\u2019Ouest Canadien (on d\u00e9passe encore les 35\u00a0\u00b0C \u00e0 Lytton, en Colombie-Britannique), la canicule dure maintenant depuis des semaines, et ne semble pas pr\u00e8s de s\u2019arr\u00eater. En Afrique, et notamment en…<\/p>\n Read More<\/span> Des in\u00e9galit\u00e9s dans l’adaptation aux crises climatiques<\/span><\/a>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4083,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"Layout":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[62,64],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-danah","post-4080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-anthropologie","category-catastrophe-climatique"],"yoast_head":"\nDes in\u00e9galit\u00e9s dans l'adaptation aux crises climatiques - Outside Dana Hilliot<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/outsiderland.com\/danahilliot\/des-inegalites-dans-ladaptation-aux-crises-climatiques\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Des in\u00e9galit\u00e9s dans l'adaptation aux crises climatiques - Outside Dana Hilliot\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Petit point climatologique ce matin. Anomalies positives, voire tr\u00e8s largement positives dans une bonne partie de l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re nord\u00a0: au SO des USA et toujours dans l\u2019Ouest Canadien (on d\u00e9passe encore les 35\u00a0\u00b0C \u00e0 Lytton, en Colombie-Britannique), la canicule dure maintenant depuis des semaines, et ne semble pas pr\u00e8s de s\u2019arr\u00eater. 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Anomalies positives, voire tr\u00e8s largement positives dans une bonne partie de l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re nord\u00a0: au SO des USA et toujours dans l\u2019Ouest Canadien (on d\u00e9passe encore les 35\u00a0\u00b0C \u00e0 Lytton, en Colombie-Britannique), la canicule dure maintenant depuis des semaines, et ne semble pas pr\u00e8s de s\u2019arr\u00eater. 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